CMC Markets专栏: 澳指200盘中整理 或反弹

Author
CMC Markets, Tina Teng

澳指200在8月份随全球股市大跌以来近三个月始终在4900点与5360点之间， 由于美国加息预期、大宗商品价格下滑、中国进口减缓等种种因素导致澳指始终无法突破上行。澳洲指数200是既受美股市场影响益受亚洲股市尤其是中国股市影响的股指产品，这与澳大利亚的国际贸易关系相关。昨日公布的澳大利亚10月份就业数据远好于预期， 10月份就业人数5.86万人口，失业率下降到5.9%，远好于预期，澳指昨日受利好支持上涨但随后再次滑落。大宗商品尤其是原油价格的再次下滑，澳指200今日开盘跳空低开后先上反弹，现行于5042附近。
 
技术形态上看澳指短期仍有反弹的可能，短期潜在反弹位置可能在5145附近。但中长期仍然会持续在4900-5360的区间整理运行。
 
日线图

日线图上看，近期澳指有在下降楔形中整理下行的形态，目前在5000点整数位置，楔形下轨，也是黄金分割回荡线61.8%附近受到支持。此处支持位潜在的较为强有力的支持。有望上行突破反弹再次回到38.2%回荡线附近5145点附近。
 
月线图

月线图中澳指仍然在长期的上升趋势线上运行，连续4个月在4900-5000的区间受到支持，同时这里也是月线图黄金分割线38.2%回荡线的位置。中长期看， 澳指200仍有可能在此上升趋势线上运行。

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Disclaimer NZ
Investing in CFDs carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. The information in this Market Commentary has been prepared by CMC Markets using information from external sources, believed to be accurate and reliable at the time it was sourced. It is general information only. Neither CMC Markets, its subsidiaries, nor any director, employee or agent of CMC Markets gives any guarantee, representation or warranty as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Market Commentary, nor accepts any responsibility or liability arising in any way (including by reason of negligence) for errors in, or omissions from, the information in the Market Commentary to the fullest extent permitted by law. In preparing this Market Commentary, CMC Markets did not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. Consequently, you should consider the information in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs. It's important for you to consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and any other relevant CMC Markets Documents before you decide whether or not to acquire any of the financial products. Our Financial Services Guide contains details of our fees and charges. All of these documents are available at cmcmarkets.co.nz or you can call us on 0800 26 26 27.

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Tina Teng在2015年6月份加入CMC Markets 担任销售与客户培训主管职务，负责亚太地区客户的培训和经济评论的撰写工作。她具有其独树一帜的市场视角和技术分析方法，认为金融市场是集历史，经济，政治，心理学与哲学于一身的学问。技术分析是市场基本面的可视性技术语言；而对于技术性语言的解读与对各国家经济、政治与历史背景分析的结合，与对投资心理状态的理解才会是对金融市场最全面的感知。自2012至2015年，Tina Teng曾任职金融经纪公司客户服务部经理为客户提供外汇差价合约方面的培训工作。此前，自2005年至2009年，她曾经在中国中央电视台广告经济中心任职，负责撰写中国广告经济方面的评论文章，造就了她对于中国经济现状和企业现状有深入的理解和敏锐的洞察力。